14.09.2007

it's rigged, it really is.

I spent the morning watching assorted bat beats on youtube (Devilfish cussing out at the dealer and Matusow ready to kill Seidel etc). So then:

Just two hands' worth of sample what happened to me today.

9-seated turbo, stacks are ~800-ish.
I hold Ad Kh and raise to 300.

Dealt to 2weiX [ Ad, Kh ]
** Dealing Flop ** [ 6s, Qs, Th ]

I raise it up a notch.
One caller, one caller all-in, I call all-in, third guy calls all-in.

** Dealing Turn ** [ Ks ]
** Dealing River ** [ 6c ]
Opturskenn shows [ Jc, Ac ]
electrohead shows [ Js, Ah ]

They split the pot with a straight.
Pre-Flop, I am ahead a whopping 70%, with a 20% chance of a tie.
Post-Flop. I am ahead 70%, with a 30% chance of a tie.
Of course, where "tie" means "I lose".

The second example is not so bad because I lose with Aces, but of the way HOW. I habe gotten used to not being able to hit a 9-outer after the flop (read: I lose most my nutflush-draws), but... (pretty much the same conditions as above):

I raise to 500
The guy reraises all-in, I am more than happy to comply.

bmw1958 shows [ Th, Tc ]
2weiX shows [ Ah, As ] (note: 80% favorite)
** Dealing Flop ** [ Qc, Ks, Kc ] (86%, even nicer)
** Dealing Turn ** [ 5c ]
** Dealing River ** [ 9c ]
bmw1958 wins 2,334 from main pot with a Flush


In addition: I played a BerlinCityPoker Freeroll for a Wii last night. Aftert two hours, I make it to the final table. Four people left. With the SECOND my girl steps into the door (back from Handball practise), I lose every hand. Love that girl. And love poker, of course....



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